Solar electric cooking in Africa: Where will the transition happen first?

What Will Probably Happen

3. Accidents Will Happen

Few students of the subject of intoxicants and traffic safety now doubt that marijuana, like alcohol, can exert detrimental influence. Just how detrimental is debatable. The debate pits optimists ("it's much less of a problem than alcohol") versus those on the pessimistic side ("but who needs any new problems?"). Yet there can be no question that some drivers who met their ends on the highway w...

It Will Happen to You

Everyone experiences bereavement but few give prior thought to it. Knowing something about the possible reactions and repercussions of bereavement is the best preparation for it.

Will the announced influenza pandemic really happen?

We propose two simple probability models to compute the probability of an influenza pandemic. Under a random walk model the probability that all pandemics between times 0 and 300 occur by time 150 is 1/2. Under a Poisson model with mean interarrival time of 30 years the probability that no pandemic occurs during at least 60 years is 14%. These probabilities are much higher than generally percei...

What Will Happen to Brazilian Fertility?

Despite the absence of an official family planning policy, demographic changes in Brazil occurred at an unprecedented pace in the second half of the twentieth century, ushering in an era with total fertility rates near the replacement level. According to the population censuses, the total population in Brazil was 52 million in 1950 and 170 million in 2000. This reflected a mean annual growth ra...